Nifty 50 Outlook for October 31, 2025

Nifty 50 Closing (Oct 30): 25,878 (-176.05, (−0.68%))
Trend Bias: Cautiously bullish with near-term consolidation
Expected Range: 25,800 – 26,200

            

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🧭 Technical Setup

Type	Zone	Implication
Strong Support	25,830–25,870	Key demand zone; potential bounce area.
Immediate Support	25,800	Holding above this sustains bullish tone.
Resistance	26,000–26,100	Likely profit-booking area on rebound.
Strong Resistance	26,200	Breakout zone for fresh momentum toward 26,500+.

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📈 Scenario Analysis for Friday (Oct 31)

1. Bullish Case (Preferred)

• If Nifty sustains above 25,830–25,870, expect a rebound toward 26,000–26,100.
• Positive catalysts: short covering, stability in US futures, and supportive domestic flows.
• Intra-day setups: Buy-on-dips near 25,850 with a stop below 25,780; targets 26,050/26,120.

2. Bearish Case

• A sustained break below 25,830 could trigger a deeper correction toward 25,700 → 25,500.
• Key triggers: renewed FII selling or weak global cues (especially if Asian/US markets stay red).

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🌍 Macro & Sentiment Drivers

• FII Flows: Continued outflows remain a headwind, but DII support limits sharp declines.
• Global Cues: Investors await clarity from the US Fed on rate cuts; bond yields remain volatile.
• Sectoral Watch:
• Weakness: Banks, IT (profit booking).
• Strength: Autos, FMCG, selective energy stocks showing defensive buying.

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📅 Broader View (November & Beyond)

• Structural uptrend intact above the 50-day EMA (~25,600).
• Base building between 25,700–25,900 before potential breakout toward 26,300–26,500 in November.
• Medium-term projection: 27,000–27,200 possible by late Q4 2025 if global risk appetite returns.
• Longer-term projection remains optimistic amid strong corporate earnings and economic growth

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⚠️ Trading Approach

• Tone: Buy-on-dips while keeping tight stops.
• Stay Cautious, Avoid aggressive longs until Nifty closes above 26,100 with volume confirmation.
• Monitor global cues like US FED updates and FII flows closely as they could sway sentiment.

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*This is not financial advice; consult a certified advisor for personalized strategies.

*Please share your views in the comments box.

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