Holding and hoping that the market will come back???
It is not a strategy problem, it’s a risk and psychology problem. The reason it hurts so much in futures & options is because:
Losses accelerate as price moves against you
Your brain switches from decision-making → pain avoidance
Hope replaces probability
The good news: this is fixable without killing your upside.
Why holding & hoping happens (even to good traders)
You already said you’re profitable most of the time. That means:
You’re usually right on direction
But when you’re wrong, you believe the market will “come back”
What’s really happening:
You anchor to your entry price
You avoid realizing loss because it feels like “admitting failure”
Small loss → medium loss → catastrophic loss
Markets don’t punish being wrong.
They punish staying wrong.
The single most important shift
Decide the exit BEFORE the entry
Not mentally.
Not “I’ll see how it behaves.”
Hard rule. Non-negotiable.
Example:
“If this loses 1R, I’m out — no exceptions”
“If futures break this level, thesis is invalid”
If the exit isn’t defined before you enter, you are not trading — you are betting.
Practical tools that actually work
1️⃣ Fixed loss per trade (game-changer)
Risk 2–5% max of capital per trade or what aligns your success rate
Size the position so the stop loss equals that amount
This way:
You can be wrong 5–10 times in a row and survive
No single trade can emotionally hijack you
2️⃣ Automatic stops (not mental)
Mental stops fail under stress.
Use:
Hard stop orders
Or options structures with defined risk (spreads instead of naked positions)
If you must adjust a stop:
Only in your favor
Never widen it
3️⃣ Reframe losses correctly
A stopped-out trade is not a mistake.
A mistake is:
Violating risk
Moving a stop
Holding after thesis is broken
Judge yourself on process, not P&L.
4️⃣ One brutal rule (but powerful)
No trade is allowed to turn into an “investment”
If you catch yourself thinking:
“Let me wait one more candle”
“It’ll bounce”
“I’ll exit if it gets worse”
You’re already in danger territory.
So keep in mind when you take your next trade
- Hope is not a risk management tool. Stops are.
- The day I decided my exit before my entry was the day trading became a business, not a bet.
- Consistent traders aren’t those who win every trade.
- They’re the ones who make sure no single trade can break them.
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